25 December 2020

2020 Men Of The Year: Galwan Valley Martyrs

# For making the ultimate sacrifice for the Motherland

# For defending the Motherland till their last breath

# For their fearlessness in the face of an evil enemy

# For reminding us that our freedom is not free

The 20 martyrs of the Galwan Valley Battle are 2020's Men Of The Year . . .

01 November 2020

Mistakes Are Good

Everybody says "Make mistakes - but don't repeat your mistakes". This advice is well-intentioned, but it is wrong - both logically and practically:
1. Logically - There is no need to say "Don't repeat your mistakes". Who repeats their mistakes? Nobody does - because the human brain is built and programmed to learn from its mistakes. And in case somebody 'repeats' his/her mistake, it only means that the original learning was not enough - because the original mistake was not big enough; so a 'repetition' is needed.
2. Practically - If we keep saying "Don't repeat your mistakes", then people make it as their rule #1. And what is the best way to avoid repeating mistakes? Simple: Don't make any mistakes at all - ie, play safe and don't take any risks. So "Don't repeat your mistakes" practically becomes "Don't make any mistakes".

So instead of saying the well-intentioned but completely wrong "Make mistakes - but don't repeat your mistakes", we should simply say "Mistakes are good".

14 September 2020

Obsolete Managers: Flat Vs Hierarchical Organisation

Let:
N = Number of levels in an organisation
a = Entry-level age (years)
A = Retirement age (years)
T = Number of years (on average) to move from one level to the next level
Then T = (A - a)/N
Usually a = 25 and A = 60. So T = 35/N. More generally, T is inversely proportional to N.

Let P(Obs) = Probability of the managers' knowledge about the core-work becoming obsolete. Then P(Obs) is proportional to T. So P(Obs) is inversely proportional to N. In a flat organisation, N is low - so P(Obs) is high. In a hierarchical organisation, N is high - so P(Obs) is low. The conventional view is that a flat organisation is good and a hierarchical organisation is bad. But from the point-of-view of the managers becoming obsolete, hierarchical organisations are superior to flat organisations.

11 September 2020

Why Managers Are Obsolete

WHY MANAGERS ARE OBSOLETE

An organisation is like a pyramid:
1. It consists of different levels.
2. People at different levels do different types of work.
Specifically:
3. The people at the bottom do the core-work of the organisation.
4. The job of the people at the top is to help/support the bottom-people.
The top-people have moved to the top from the bottom. That is: earlier they were at the bottom – and were doing the core-work of the organisation.

In a static/unchanging world, this model would be perfect:
1. People start at the bottom doing the core-work.
2. As time passes, they move up to the top-levels.
3. They have experience/knowledge about the core-work.
4. With this experience/knowledge, they help/support the bottom-people.
But the problem is the 21st century world is not a static/unchanging world – it is a dynamic/fast-changing world. And how we do a work is a function of the world/environment. So when the environment changes, how we do a work also changes.

Thus some time after the bottom-people move to the top (and become top-people), the technology/environment changes – and the top-people's knowledge/experience about the core-work becomes obsolete. They know about doing the core-work when the technology/environment was in its previous state. But they do not know anything about doing the core-work NOW – when the technology/environment is in a completely new state. But still, they keep giving orders to the bottom-people – who actually know how to do the core-work NOW (with the technology/environment in its current state).

Therefore managers (top-people) are inherently obsolete. And the traditional management model / organisation structure is also inherently obsolete.

01 September 2020

Laws Of System Complexity, Output Quality, Environment Dynamism And Operating Intelligence

LAWS OF SYSTEMS

1. Law of system complexity and operating intelligence:
The intelligence required to run a system is proportional to the system's complexity.

2. Law of system complexity and output quality:
For a given level of intelligence of the people running a system, the quality of the system's output is inversely proportional to the system's complexity.

3. Law of environment dynamism and operating intelligence:
The intelligence required to run a system is proportional to the dynamism of the system's environment.

4. Law of environment dynamism and output quality:
For a given level of intelligence of the people running a system, the quality of the system's output is inversely proportional to the dynamism of the system's environment.

Pranab Mukherjee: The Last Liberal

Which was the defining point of Pranab Mukherjee's long and illustrious political career?
A. 31 Oct 1984 – Congress Party made Rajiv Gandhi as Prime Minister, pushing aside its senior-most leader Pranab-ji
B. 22 May 2004 – Sonia Gandhi made Manmohan Singh as Prime Minister, pushing aside their senior-most leader Pranab-ji
C. 25 Jul 2012 – Pranab-ji became the 13th President of India, the highest office of our Republic
D. 7 Jun 2018 – Pranab-ji attended the valedictory function of RSS's training camp at its Nagpur headquarters
Cynics will say A and B. Most people will say C. But for me, it was D.

Liberals see and treat the RSS as an untouchable Hindu fascist organisation. Yet Pranab Mukherjee, who had occupied the highest office of our Republic and was fully aware of its sanctity, attended the RSS's most important annual event as its Chief Guest. Why? Because he knew that in a society, people will have different viewpoints and the only way to run a society is to be open-minded and try to understand other viewpoints. In that sense, he was a true liberal – an open-minded man who engaged constructively with people he disagreed with. In fact, he was India's last liberal – and the people who call themselves liberals can definitely learn a thing or two from him.

A great son of Mother India has left us. May God give strength to his family . . .

30 August 2020

Congress Party And JEE/NEET Exams

Last month, 20+ senior leaders of the Congress Party wrote a detailed letter to Sonia Gandhi demanding a complete revamp of the party – which would end the Nehru dynasty's control of the party. This Monday, the Congress Working Committee held its meeting to discuss the letter. Sonia Gandhi started the meeting by asking the CWC to relieve her of her responsibilities. Immediately, loyalists of the Dynasty denounced the letter and declared their loyalty to the Dynasty. The dissenters were outnumbered and the CWC passed a resolution condemning the letter and praising the Dynasty.

When the letter was written, most of the pro-Congress English media rightly saw it as a possible beginning of the Congress Party's revival – and enthusiastically supported the letter. And when the Congress Working Committee torpedoed the initiative, they were furious and produced a flood of reports and analyses criticising the Dynasty. So this week has been full of negative headlines for the Dynasty. This was unacceptable to Sonia Gandhi – and she had to do something to stop this.

But how? Simple: The JEE/NEET exams are starting on September 1. So she called a meeting of all the Congress Chief Ministers and ordered them to oppose the exams. She also ordered the Congress Party to carry out protests all over the country against the exams. Result: Now everybody has forgotten about the rebellious letter and the CWC meeting farce – so her plan has succeeded brilliantly.

Moral of the story: Modi-Shah may be 'Chanakya' – but they have ruled the country for only 6 years. Remember that Sonia Gandhi ruled the country for 10 years . . .

04 August 2020

India's Cities And City-Governments

INDIA'S CITIES AND CITY-GOVERNMENTS

In the 21st century, the most important socio-economic unit of a country is the city. Cities are the centres of wealth-creation and job-creation. So an efficient political system must be based on this fundamental reality. That means a city-based political system - in which city-governments have all the powers necessary to manage their cities efficiently. But currently we have a feudal/medieval political system - in which city-governments are under the control of the state-government. And the inefficiency of this system has been completely exposed by the ongoing Covid-19 crisis.

Every city has its own resources and capabilities on the one hand - and its own problems and challenges on the other hand. So cities must use their resources and capabilities to deal with their problems and challenges. City-governments can do this if:
1. They have full powers
2. They are directly elected by the city's people
3. They are answerable to the city's people.
They cannot do this if:
1. They have limited powers
2. They are indirectly elected by the city's people
3. They are not answerable to the city's people
Which is the case now.

Fully empowered city-governments will manage our cities efficiently, create jobs and remove poverty. As long as we continue with our current 2-level government system (centre + states) we will remain a third world country. To become a superpower, we must change to a 3-level government system (centre + states + cities).

22 July 2020

Economic System: Efficiency And Equality

A good economic system has two features: efficiency and equality. How to achieve this?

From Hal Varian's 'Microeconomics' (2010):


The Second Theorem of Welfare Economics asserts that under certain conditions, every Pareto efficient allocation can be achieved as a competitive equilibrium.

What is the meaning of this result? The Second Welfare Theorem implies that the problems of distribution and efficiency can be separated. Whatever Pareto efficient allocation you want can be supported by the market mechanism. The market mechanism is distributionally neutral. Whatever your criteria for a good or a just distribution of welfare, you can use competitive markets to achieve it.

Prices play two roles in the market system: an allocative role and a distributive role. The allocative role of prices is to indicate relative scarcity; the distributive role is to determine how much of different goods different agents can purchase. The Second Welfare Theorem says that these two roles can be separated: we can redistribute endowments of goods to determine how much wealth agents have, and then use prices to indicate relative scarcity.

Policy discussions often become confused on this point. One often hears arguments for intervening in pricing decisions on grounds of distributional equity. However, such intervention is typically misguided. As we have seen above, a convenient way to achieve efficient allocations is for each agent to face the true social costs of his/her actions and to make choices that reflect those costs. Thus in a perfectly competitive market, the marginal decision of whether to consume more or less of some good will depend on the price – which measures how everyone else values this good on the margin. The considerations of efficiency are inherently marginal decisions – each person should face the correct marginal tradeoff in making his/her consumption decisions.

The decision about how much different agents should consume is a totally different issue. In a competitive market, this is determined by the value of the resources that a person has to sell. From the viewpoint of the pure theory, there is no reason why the state can't transfer purchasing power (endowments) among consumers in any way that is seen fit. But the message of the Second Welfare Theorem is important. Prices should be used to reflect scarcity. Lump-sum transfers of wealth should be used to adjust for distributional goals. To a large degree, these two policy decisions can be separated.

People's concern about the distribution of welfare can lead them to advocate various forms of manipulation of prices. It has been argued, for example, that senior citizens should have access to less expensive telephone service, or that small users of electricity should pay lower rates than large users. These are basically attempts to redistribute income through the price system by offering some people lower prices than others. When you think about it, this is a terribly inefficient way to redistribute income. If you want to redistribute income, why don't you simply redistribute income? If you give a person an extra dollar to spend, then he can choose to consume more of any of the goods that he wants to consume – not necessarily just the good being subsidised.

13 July 2020

India's Politics And Academics: Chicken/Egg (People/System) Problem

Both Indian politics and Indian academics suffer from the same fundamental problem: the chicken-and-egg problem – or the people-and-system problem. Good people are not there in the field. Why? Because the system is not good. And why is the system not good? Because good people are not there. That is: Good people will enter the field only when the system becomes good – and the system will become good only when good people enter the field.

Of course, this is a fundamental principle of the universe. And as per this principle, there should be no progress in the world at all. But the history of the world is nothing but the story of progress. So how does progress happen – in spite of the chicken-and-egg / people-and-system principle? There are two reasons. The first reason is that the principle is not 100% rigid/watertight. Especially with regard to the egg-to-chicken part – ie, the relationship between the quality of a system and the entry of good people. Some good people (who are fools) enter a field even though the system is not good.

The second reason is that luckily for us, human/social systems are not 'digital' but 'analog'. That is – they are not binary/discrete (bad vs good; 0 vs 1) but continuous (a gradient/spectrum from bad to good; 0 to 10). So a few good people (fools) enter a bad system and make it better – which attracts more good people – who make the system even better – and so on. This is nothing but the upward spiral / virtuous cycle of progress. Of course, the critical factor here is the speed of the process – especially when we are in a dynamic environment / competitive world. We can only hope that both our academics and our politics get on to a self-sustaining path of improvement (good systems + good people) as soon as possible – and move on it as fast as possible. Aum . . .

21 June 2020

Job/Work/Career: Strengths Vs Weaknesses

JOB/WORK/CAREER: STRENGTHS VS WEAKNESSES

Conventional career/personality development theory tells us to improve in our areas of weakness. This is nonsense. Because there is no such thing as the perfect/complete worker/all-rounder. Different people have different strengths - and the 21st century is the age of teamwork and specialisation. So your success will be determined by how strong your strengths are. If you work on your weakness, you will improve from poor to average - not more than that. And what will a team do with an average skill? Instead if you work on your strength, you will improve from good to great - and you will be valuable to any team. So forget about your weaknesses - and focus on your strengths. Find out what your strengths are - and develop them. Trying to 'fix'/'repair' your weaknesses is the biggest waste of time in the world.

08 June 2020

Capital, Capitalist And Capitalism

Today the word 'capitalism' means "an economic system in which the means of production are privately owned" (as opposed to socialism – in which the means of production are owned by the government). But the original meaning of the word was quite different. The word 'capital' came first – in the 1200s. It meant simply money or wealth. The word 'capitalist' came next – in the 1600s. It meant "an owner of capital/money/wealth" – ie, merchants. Around 1800, the Industrial Revolution began and the word 'capital' acquired today's meaning – not simply money/wealth but the means of production (ie, machines and factories). Consequently, the word 'capitalist' also changed – from "owner of money/wealth" to "owner of machines/factories". Then the word 'capitalism' came in the 1800s – meaning "the economic system consisting of capitalists". This looks like a trivial definition but it is not. Defined this way, capitalism was indeed a revolutionary new economic system. Why?

Since the beginning of civilisation, capital (the means of production) consisted of small simple tools. And these tools were owned by the respective workers. The farmer owned his plough and sickle. The blacksmith owned his anvil and furnace. The carpenter owned his saw and hammer. The potter owned his wheel and the weaver owned his loom. In other words – the workers owned the capital. The Industrial Revolution changed all this – by giving birth to big complex machines (and the buildings that contained them – ie, factories). These were too expensive to be owned by ordinary workers – only rich merchants could afford to own them. So for the first time in history, capital was not owned by workers – but by another group of people: the capitalists. And the new economic system was called 'capitalism'. This was the original meaning of the word 'capitalism'.

22 May 2020

India's Systems: Quality Vs Quantity

INDIA'S SYSTEMS: QUALITY VS QUANTITY

Every system has two fundamental aspects: quality and quantity. Which is more important? Both are equally important. That is – a system must ideally maximise both quality and quantity. But given resource constraints, we can increase only one of these two parameters at a time. So to achieve both quality and quantity, a sequential approach is needed. Accordingly, two approaches are available:
Phase 1
Phase 2
Approach 1
Increase quality
Keep quantity low
Increase quantity
Maintain quality
Approach 2
Increase quantity
Keep quality low
Increase quality
Maintain quantity

Which approach is better? The critical part of the process is the second phase. In the first approach, the second phase involves increasing the quantity of a high-quality low-quantity system. In the second approach, the second phase involves increasing the quality of a high-quantity low-quality system. Which of these two processes has a higher probability of success? Once the question is framed this way, it becomes clear that the first approach has a higher probability of success – and is therefore better.

India came under foreign rule around 1000 AD – during the Agricultural Age. It remained under slavery for 1000 years – under the Turks, Mughals and British. During the period of British rule, the Agricultural Age ended and a new age in the history of mankind - the Modern/Industrial Age - started. When India finally became free in 1947, the fundamental challenge before it was to build modern systems that would be both world-class (quality) and big enough for the world's second-biggest country (quantity). And that required choosing between the two approaches described above. Unfortunately, we chose the second approach. That is – we aimed for quantity rather than quality, perhaps hoping to increase the quality later. The result is that today we are stuck with low-quality high-quantity systems whose quality we are now struggling to increase.

Classroom Education Vs Online Education

CLASSROOM EDUCATION VS ONLINE EDUCATION

"The Covid-19 crisis has changed the world forever – especially education. Classroom education is dead, obsolete and Stone Age. Online education will and should replace classroom education." This is now the consensus opinion of almost all experts and ordinary people.

I know people will call me Stone Age. But based on my 18 years experience as a student and 7 years experience as a faculty, I will say this: The classroom + blackboard + chalk is the most effective method for understanding a subject – especially complex concepts. There is no substitute for mentally wrestling with complex concepts with the help of a faculty who has been doing the same for years – along with other students who are currently doing the same.

If online education is better than classroom education because it is more 'efficient', then why stop there? Why not take this idea one step further – to its logical conclusion? Excellent textbooks are available on every subject. So the most 'efficient' option is to simply buy the textbooks, sit at home and read the textbooks. Where is the need for even an online education? To get a degree? It will be more 'efficient' for universities to only conduct exams and award degrees to those who pass the exams.

Since 1947, we have completely neglected quality and focussed only on quantity in our education. This is the #1 reason for India's under-development today. Now this online education will become another excuse to further dilute quality for the sake of quantity in our education. "We have reached X number of students", "We have trained Y number of candidates", "We have produced Z number of graduates", etc. How well have they understood the subjects? Especially complex concepts? Nobody is bothered about this.

20 May 2020

India's Debt, Fiscal Deficit And GDP Growth Rate

Let a country's GDP be G and its debt be D. Then its debt-to-GDP ratio is D/G. Let its GDP grow at a rate of g every year (0 < g < 1). Then its GDP next year will be (1 + g) × G. Let its fiscal deficit next year be F. Then its debt next year will be D + F. So its debt-to-GDP ratio next year will be (D + F)/[(1 + g) × G]. If the debt-to-GDP ratio is to remain constant, then:
D/G = (D + F)/[(1 + g) × G]

Let us express both debt and fiscal deficit as a fraction of the GDP. Let D/G be d and F/[(1 + g) × G] be f. Then the constant debt-to-GDP ratio condition becomes:
d = d /(1 + g) + f

This gives us:
1. f = d × g / (1 + g)
And:
2. g = f / (d - f)

A country starts off with a certain amount of debt (D) – which is expressed as a fraction of its GDP (D/G = d). It wants to reduce its debt-to-GDP ratio (d). How to do this? There are two ways of asking and answering this question:
1. If the country's GDP grows at a certain rate g, then it must keep its fiscal deficit (as a fraction of its GDP) below some level f. Equation 1 gives us this value of f.
2. If the country maintains its fiscal deficit (as a fraction of its GDP) at a certain level f, then its GDP must grow above some rate g. Equation 2 gives us this value of g.

India's debt-to-GDP ratio is 70% – which is the highest among major industrialising countries. How to reduce this? We can use the two equations given above. Accordingly we have:

A. Maximum fiscal deficit (based on the GDP growth rate)
GDP Growth Rate
Maximum Fiscal Deficit
5%
3.3%
6%
4.0%
7%
4.6%
8%
5.2%
9%
5.8%
10%
6.4%
Our average GDP growth rate since 2000 has been 7%.

B. Minimum GDP growth rate (based on the fiscal deficit)
Fiscal Deficit
Minimum GDP Growth Rate
3%
4.5%
4%
6.1%
5%
7.7%
6%
9.4%
7%
11.1%
8%
12.9%
9%
14.8%
10%
16.7%
Our average fiscal deficit since 2000 has been 4.5%.

Note: The 2003 Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management (FRBM) Act states that the government must reduce the fiscal deficit to 3% of GDP.

12 May 2020

Major/Important Finance Ministers Of India

Major/important finance ministers of India:

#Finance MinisterPeriodPrime Minister
1Shanmukham Chetty1947–1948Jawaharlal Nehru
2John Mathai1948–1950Jawaharlal Nehru
3Chintaman Deshmukh1950–1956Jawaharlal Nehru
4T T Krishnamachari1956–1958Jawaharlal Nehru
5Morarji Desai1958–1963Jawaharlal Nehru
6T T Krishnamachari1963–1965Nehru / L B Shastri
7Sachindra Chaudhuri1966–1967Indira Gandhi
8Morarji Desai1967–1969Indira Gandhi
9Yashwantrao Chavan1970–1974Indira Gandhi
10C Subramaniam1974–1977Indira Gandhi
11Hirubhai Patel1977–1979Indira Gandhi
12Charan Singh1979–1980Morarji Desai
13R Venkataraman1980–1982Indira Gandhi
14Pranab Mukherjee1982–1984Indira Gandhi
15V P Singh1984–1987Rajiv Gandhi
16Narayan Tiwari1987–1988Rajiv Gandhi
17Shankarrao Chavan1988–1989Rajiv Gandhi
18Madhu Dandavate1989–1990V P Singh
19Yashwant Sinha1990–1991Chandra Shekhar
20Manmohan Singh1991–1996P V Narasimha Rao
21P Chidambaram1996–1998Deve Gowda / Gujral
22Yashwant Sinha1998–2002Atal Bihari Vajpayee
23Jaswant Singh2002–2004Atal Bihari Vajpayee
24P Chidambaram2004–2008Manmohan Singh
25Pranab Mukherjee2009–2012Manmohan Singh
26P Chidambaram2012–2014Manmohan Singh
27Arun Jaitley2014–2019Narendra Modi
28Nirmala Sitaraman2019–Narendra Modi

26 April 2020

Economy, Economics And Economic Literacy

Humans need some things to live – like food, clothes, houses, etc. They obtain these things by making and exchanging them with one another. And this system of people making and exchanging things is nothing but the economic system (or simply – the economy).

Now this economic system or economy does not behave randomly. If I am holding a ball and I let go of it, what will happen? Simple: the ball will fall down. Why? Again simple: due to the law of gravity. So the ball falls down instead of going up because the law of gravity says it must fall down. That is – its behaviour is dictated by the law of gravity. More generally – the behaviour of the physical world is dictated by a set of physical laws. And these physical laws make up a science – the science called physics. Engineers build many physical systems – like machines. When they do so, they must do it on the basis of the laws of physics – for which they must know the science of physics. And we would like to understand how these machines or physical systems work. In order to do that, we must also know the science of physics.

What is true of physical systems is equally true of the economic system (economy). Just as physical systems do not behave randomly but as per certain physical laws, similarly the economy (economic system) does not behave randomly but as per certain laws of human/social behaviour – ie, economic laws. And just as the physical laws make up a science called physics, similarly the economic laws also make up a science – the science called economics. And just as we must know the science of physics to understand how physical systems work, similarly we must know the science of economics to understand how the economic system (economy) works.

Every human gets the things he/she needs to live from the economic system or economy. So the economic system or economy is directly important to every human. Thus every human must understand how the economic system or economy works. That is – every human must know economics (at least the basics). This being the case, it is shocking that we do not teach even basic economics in our schools. We teach economics only in senior high-school (ie, +2) in the Arts and Commerce streams – so the Science stream students miss out on economics completely. We must correct this by teaching at least basic economics in the 10th standard.

We must teach the most fundamental concepts of both micro-economics and macro-economics. Fundamental micro-economic concepts would include:
1. Supply and demand
2. Social surplus/welfare
3. How free-market maximises social welfare
4. How government-controls reduce social welfare
Fundamental macro-economic concepts would include:
1. Taxes and revenue
2. Government spending
3. Fiscal-deficit and debt
4. Subsidies, loan-waivers and welfare-schemes

Economic literacy is also essential for the healthy functioning of a democracy. One of the most important functions of a government is to manage the country's economy properly. If people don't know even basic economics, how will they evaluate the government's performance – and the opposition's criticism? And how will they make the right choice in the election?

25 April 2020

ಜಾತ್ಯತೀತ / ಜಾತ್ಯತೀತತೆ

Secularismಗೆ ಕನ್ನಡದಲ್ಲಿ 'ಜಾತ್ಯತೀತತೆ' ಎನ್ನುತ್ತಾರೆ. ಈ ಅನುವಾದ ಸರಿಯೇ? Secularism ಎಂದರೇನು? Secularism ಎಂದರೆ ಹಿಂದು-ಧ್ವೇಷ - ಅಂದರೆ ಹಿಂದುಗಳನ್ನು ಮತ್ತು ಹಿಂದು-ಧರ್ಮವನ್ನು ಧ್ವೇಷಿಸುವುದು. ಸೆಕ್ಯುಲರವಾದಿಗಳು/ಎಡವಾದಿಗಳು ಎಲ್ಲಾ ಹಿಂದುಗಳನ್ನು ಧ್ವೇಷಿಸುತ್ತಾರೆ - ಅಂದರೆ ಅವರು ಎಲ್ಲಾ ಜಾತಿಗಳ ಹಿಂದುಗಳನ್ನು ಧ್ವೇಷಿಸುತ್ತಾರೆ. ಆದ್ದರಿಂದ ಅವರ ಹಿಂದು-ಧ್ವೇಷ ನಿಜವಾಗಿಯೂ ಜಾತ್ಯತೀತ. ಆದುದರಿಂದ secularismಗೆ 'ಜಾತ್ಯತೀತತೆ' ಎಂಬ ಶಬ್ದ ಅತ್ಯಂತ ಸೂಕ್ತವಾಗಿದೆ.

24 April 2020

India's Muslims: Non-Fundamentalists Vs Anti-Fundamentalists

India's middle-class Muslims are non-fundamentalists. This is a good thing - but it not enough. Lower-class Muslims are so deeply sunk in fundamentalism that it is not enough for middle-class Muslims to be merely non-fundamentalist. They must do more - they must fight against fundamentalism. That is - they must become anti-fundamentalists.

PS: And needless to say - we Hindus will support them 100% in their war against fundamentalism.

21 April 2020

Varna System And Types Of Work

There are four basic types of work:
1. Working with things
2. Working with money
3. Working with people
4. Working with ideas

Accordingly, ancient Indians designed and built a social system (the Varna system) in which different groups of people specialised in each of the four basic types of work:
1. Working with things - Farmers/Workers (Shudras)
2. Working with money - Merchants/Traders (Vaishyas)
3. Working with people - Rulers/Administrators (Kshatriyas)
4. Working with ideas - Scholars/Priests (Brahmanas)

20 April 2020

China's History: Warfare, Violence, Aggression

China was born around 2000 BC - about 1000 years after India. China's history is similar to India's: many kingdoms fighting many wars with one another. But that is where the similarity stops. The nature of the warfare was completely different in each case.

In India, the armies of the two warring kingdoms would meet at the battlefield and start fighting at sunrise. At sunset, they would stop and evaluate the situation. The army which fared better was declared the winner. Then the losing king would acknowledge the winning king as his overlord - and pay him a tribute every year. Thus it was limited warfare.

In China, the war would be a fight to the finish. The winning king would kill the losing king - even if he surrendered. The winning army would kill the entire losing army - even if they surrendered. Then the winning army would march to the capital of the losing kingdom - and kill every man, woman and child in the city. Thus it was total warfare. And this went on for 4000 years.

Therefore China's history is the most violent and blood-drenched history in the world. And 4000 years of bloody warfare have made the Chinese a very violent and aggressive people. In 1949, the Chinese Communist Party made the country a completely unified state for the first time in its history. As a result, all those inter-kingdom wars came to a stop. But a national character that has developed over 4000 years cannot change overnight. So where will all that violence and aggression go? Simple: outside. That is - the violence and aggression that went into internal wars for 4000 years is now going into the outside world.

Reference: History Of China - John Keay (2008)

19 April 2020

RSS's System/Philosophy

RSS is supposed to be a Hindu and an anti-Western/modern/industrial organisation. But its system is to train people to become good social-workers; which is nothing but an industrial system - a factory. Whereas Hindu philosophy says that each human has a unique Swadharma; and the goal of life is to discover our Swadharma - and fulfill it.

18 April 2020

Congress Propaganda: Gandhi/Nehru Vs Bhagat Singh / Subhash Chandra Bose

When the Covid-19 lockdown began, I took up a small project that I had always wanted to do: To compile a list of Bollywood's all-time greatest patriotic songs. To do this, I went through all the old songs. And I found something very interesting:
1. Half the songs were familiar - I had seen them regularly on Chitrahaar (remember that program on Doordarshan?) as a kid in the 1980s and 1990s. But half the songs were new - I had never seen them on Chitrahaar.
2. Very coincidentally - the songs that Chitrahaar regularly showed glorify Gandhi and Nehru. And the songs that Chitrahaar never showed glorify Bhagat Singh and Subhash Chandra Bose.

There were also state-versions of Chitrahaar - in each state's language. Extending the above analysis to Maharashtra's Marathi version of Chitrahaar, I think it never showed songs that glorify Vinayak Savarkar. My Marathi friends can confirm this.

Nice propaganda by the Congress Party!

17 April 2020

Socialism, Capitalism And India's Muslim Middle-Class

When Partition happened in 1947, most of our middle-class Muslims moved to Pakistan. So post-Partition India's Muslim community consisted mainly of lower-class Muslims. Then in 1947, Nehru adopted inefficient government-controlled socialism as our economic system. As a result, our economy grew at a rate of 3% per year. And our population grew at a rate of 2% per year - so our per capita income grew at a rate of 1% per year. But the East Asian and South East Asian countries adopted efficient free-market capitalism as their economic system - and grew at a rate of 10% per year.

Fast economic growth creates a big middle-class. Due to our slow economic growth under socialism, we were not able to create a Muslim middle-class (that we had lost in Partition). Finally in 1991, Prime Minister P V Narasimha Rao changed our economic system from socialism to capitalism - and our economy started growing at the rate of 7-8% per year. This fast economic growth created a big Indian middle-class. Specifically: It created a small Muslim middle-class - for the first time since 1947.

So our Muslim middle-class is small and recent (only since 1991). Thus Nehru's socialism delayed the formation of a Muslim middle-class by almost 50 years - and therefore also delayed the modernisation of the Muslim community.

16 April 2020

Hindus And The Modernisation Of India's Muslims

Recent events (first the anti-CAA riots and now the Covid-19 outbreak) have glaringly shown how deeply our lower-class Muslims are immersed in fundamentalism. What is the solution for this? There is only one: modernisation. And who must do this? Ideally - anybody/everybody who can. But there is an important limitation here: Hindus cannot do this - because of the nature of the problem (fundamentalism). Any effort by Hindus in this regard will be a non-starter. So it has to be done by middle-class Muslims only.

Therefore Hindus have been doing nothing in this regard since 1947. And the results of this approach are there in front of us today. So this approach is clearly unsustainable. Either middle-class Muslims are not modernising their lower-class counterparts. Or their efforts are not being enough. So Hindus must either kick-start the process (if it is the former) - or accelerate the process (if it is the latter). And how to do this?

The starting point for every change-process is a discussion/conversation. The biggest problem in this matter is that there is no discussion/conversation happening at all. Why? The answer is obvious: Hindus feel that if they criticise Islamic fundamentalism (or Christian fundamentalism - but that is another story) it looks like they are criticising Islam - which is 'hatred' and therefore wrong. So we have chosen a comfortable silence since 1947. And today the results of this silence are there in front of us. Therefore this comfortable silence is no longer an option.

Hinduism says 'Sarva Mata Sama Bhaava'. So we respect all religions - including Islam. But we will not tolerate Islamic fundamentalism - which is an evil ideology. We must be very clear about this difference. That will give us the confidence to criticise Islamic fundamentalism freely and openly - based on facts/logic. At the same time, we must (equally freely and openly) support the middle-class Muslims who are trying to modernise their lower-class counterparts. There is no contradiction between respecting Islam on the one hand and criticising Islamic fundamentalism on the other hand. In fact - the two approaches are two sides of the same coin. Each strengthens the other. And each is incomplete without the other.

We are all one country - India. We will all either prosper together - or we will all go down together. These are our only two options - there is no third option. So let us all work together to make our country better. Bharat Mata ki jai.

Bollywood's Greatest Patriotic Songs

Bollywood's greatest patriotic songs (in rough chronological order):


1. Vande Mataram
Lyrics: Bankim Chandra Chatterjee
Music: Hemant Kumar
Voice: Hemant Kumar
Movie: Anand Math (1952)

2. Kadam Kadam Badhaye Ja
Lyrics: Vanshidhar Shukla
Music: Ram Singh Thakur
Voice: Ramchandra Chitalkar
Movie: Samadhi (1950)

3. Mera Rang De Basanti Chola
Lyrics: Ram Prasad Bismil
Music: Prem Dhawan
Voices: Mahendra Kapoor, Mukesh, Rajendra Mehta
Movie: Shaheed (1965)

4. Sarfaroshi Ki Tamanna
Lyrics: Bismil Azimabadi
Music: Prem Dhawan
Voices: Mohammed Rafi, Manna Dey, Rajendra Mehta
Movie: Shaheed (1965)

5. Aao Bacho Tumhe Dikhaye
Lyrics: Kavi Pradeep
Music: Hemant Kumar
Voice: Kavi Pradeep
Movie: Jagriti (1954)

6. Yeh Desh Hai Veer Jawanon Ka
Lyrics: Sahir Ludhianvi
Music: Omkar Nayyar
Voice: Mohammed Rafi
Movie: Naya Daur (1957)

7. Aye Mere Pyare Watan
Lyrics: Prem Dhawan
Music: Salil Chaudhari
Voice: Manna Dey
Movie: Kabuliwala (1961)

8. Ab Tumhare Hawale Watan Sathiyo
Lyrics: Kaifi Azmi
Music: Madan Mohan
Voice: Mohammed Rafi
Movie: Haqeeqat (1964)

9. Apni Azadi Ko Hum
Lyrics: Shakil Badayuni
Music: Naushad Ali
Voice: Mohammed Rafi
Movie: Leader (1964)

10. Aye Watan Aye Watan
Lyrics: Prem Dhawan
Music: Prem Dhawan
Voice: Mohammed Rafi
Movie: Shaheed (1965)

11. Jahan Daal Daal Par
Lyrics: Rajendra Krishan
Music: Hansraj Behl
Voice: Mohammed Rafi
Movie: Sikandar E Azam (1965)

12. Mere Desh Ki Dharti
Lyrics: Gulshan Bawra
Music: Kalyanji-Anandji
Voice: Mahendra Kapoor
Movie: Upkaar (1967)

13. Hai Preet Jahan Ki Reet Sada
Lyrics: Indivar
Music: Kalyanji-Anandji
Voice: Mahendra Kapoor
Movie: Purab Aur Paschim (1970)

14. Taqat Watan Ki
Lyrics: Gopaldas Neeraj
Music: Sachin Burman
Voices: Manna Dey, Mohammed Rafi
Movie: Prem Pujari (1970)

15. Har Karam Apna Karenge
Lyrics: Anand Bakshi
Music: Laxmikant-Pyarelal
Voices: Kavita Krishnamurti, Mohammed Aziz
Movie: Karma (1986)

15 April 2020

Microeconomic Foundations Of Macroeconomics?

# Neo-classical microeconomics looks at economic agents - by assuming them to be rational maximisers.
# Keynes gave birth to macroeconomics which looks at the aggregate economy independently - ie, without bothering about microeconomics.
# Neo-classicists attacked Keynesian macroeconomics - saying it does not have 'solid microeconomic foundations'.
# Neo-Keynesians are responding by building the 'solid microeconomic foundations' for Keynesian macroeconomics.
# But all this is funny when the foundation of microeconomics (rational maximisation) is itself being broken - by behavioural economics.

07 April 2020

India's School-Education System & Basic Literacy Skills

My students are bombarding me with demands for the 'notes' for my subjects. Last year's lectures have been recorded and the videos are available to them. They also have the textbook - its PDF is available free on the Internet. Still they are insisting on 'notes'.

For understanding a subject, the most effective method is listening to a lecture. The second most effective method is reading a good textbook. The least effective method is reading 'notes'. Still my students are insisting on 'notes'.

How do we understand a subject through the first two (effective) methods? The process consists of these steps:
1. Reading/Listening
2. Understanding
3. Thinking logically
Now these also happen to be basic literacy skills - which are the foundation for all other skills. Once students have these fundamental skills, they can develop other higher level skills.

So if the students are insisting on 'notes', that means they do not have these basic literacy skills. This is a damning indictment of India's school-education system. It means that we are basically producing a nation of educated illiterates. How will we survive in the 21st century - which is the Knowledge Century?

02 April 2020

Minimum WhatsApp Group Distance (MWGD)

Consider any of your WhatsApp groups. Consider any other member of that group - let us call him/her as X. Now you are connected to X through one WhatsApp group. That is - the Minimum WhatsApp Group Distance (MWGD) between you and X = 1.

Now consider any other of X's WhatsApp groups (which you are not a member of). And consider any other member of that group (with whom you don't share any WhatsApp group) - let us call him/her as Y. So you are connected to Y through two WhatsApp groups. That is - the MWGD between you and Y = 2.

Now almost all the 40 crore Indians on WhatsApp are connected to one another like this. The only thing that varies is the MWGD. The lesser the MWGD between two persons, we can say they are 'closer' to each other. The greater the MWGD between two persons, we can say they are 'farther' from each other.

Question: What may be the MWGD between the two Indians who are 'farthest' from each other?

25 February 2020

Money, Survival, Work and Happiness

# Without money we cannot survive. So money is needed for survival.
# Most people think: "I need Rs X to survive and another Rs Y to be happy. So I need Rs Z = X + Y to survive and be happy."
# But happiness comes from work – ie, from doing the work that we like doing. So the thinking stated above is wrong.
# In the 21st century, 99% of jobs/careers pay us at least Rs X – the money we need to survive.
# So don't run after the extra Rs Y that you think will make you happy – because it will not.
# Instead just find out what you like doing – and make it your job/career.

29 January 2020

India's Economic Slowdown: Cyclical or Structural?

As soon as the economic slowdown started, some economists said it is both cyclical and structural - and some said it is completely structural. On what basis did they say this? We can say that a slowdown is structural if:
A. The growth rate goes below the growth rate during past cyclical slowdowns (which is 4.5% for India)
B. The slowdown lasts longer than the duration of past cyclical slowdowns (which is a year for India)
C. Both A and B happen

Yet AS SOON AS the growth rate hit 4.5% for ONE QUARTER, some 'eminent' economists immediately declared that the slowdown is structural. Only in an economically illiterate country like India can economists get away with such statements/verdicts - which are at best unscientific and at worst dishonest.

25 January 2020

Slowdown in India's Economy

All of us would like the economy to grow continuously at a high rate. But this never happens. An economy's growth rate has a wave-like behaviour - alternately increasing and decreasing. This is a fundamental feature of a capitalist economy. And the length/duration of the cycle is roughly a decade. So every decade, the growth rate goes down.

India converted its economy from socialism to capitalism in 1991. Since then, we have also been experiencing this pattern. In 2000, our economy slowed down. So our next slowdown was due around 2010. But the UPA government tried to avoid the slowdown - by artificially boosting the economy with excess spending. But you cannot avoid a slowdown that is due. At best, you can only delay it - and that too only by a few years. And that is exactly what happened - the slowdown eventually hit us in 2013.

So going by the 10-year cycle, our next slowdown was due around 2020. And that is exactly what is happening now. Economic cycle is one of the most fundamental concepts in economics. But our media and liberal economists seem to be blissfully ignorant of it.

17 January 2020

Hindus, Hinduism and Islamic/Christian Fundamentalism

Every human automatically/sub-consciously thinks: "All humans think like me". This is an assumption – and it is a fundamental nature of humans. But it is also a very FALSE assumption.

We Hindus believe that all religions are true – and therefore respect all religions. This is a good thing – but unfortunately we also go one step further. We think: "ALL people believe that all religions are true. Therefore ALL people respect all religions." This is the BIGGEST MISTAKE that we Hindus make – because it is a FALSE assumption.

Islamic/Christian fundamentalism says:
1. Only Islam/Christianity is true – all other religions are false.
2. 'Good' is nothing but spreading the truth and 'evil' is nothing but tolerating falsehood.
3. So 'good' means spreading Islam/Christianity and 'evil' means tolerating other religions.

Therefore Islamic/Christian fundamentalists believe:
1. Hinduism is false/evil.
2. So it is every Muslim/Christian's sacred duty to wipe out Hinduism and replace it with Islam/Christianity.
Thus for the last 1000 years, Islamic/Christian fundamentalism have been waging war on Hindus and Hinduism.

So if we Hindus want to survive, the first thing we must do is to stop thinking: "All humans think like me/us".

04 January 2020

Anti-CAA Riots/Protests and Anti-Hinduism

Islamic fundamentalism (Turks + Mughals) and Christian fundamentalism (British) assaulted Hinduism and Hindus for 1000 years - and tried their best to destroy us. Due to Hinduism's great inner strength, we somehow survived - and finally became free in 1947. American philosopher George Santayana said: "The punishment for people who forget their history is to experience that history again". When I was an RSS pracharak, my bosses used to tell me this. I agreed with it - but only theoretically. I thought: "After all, we are 80% of this country - so we are safe". But after seeing the hatred and violence of the anti-CAA riots/protests by anti-Hindu liberals and Islamic fundamentalists (supported by Christian fundamentalists) Santayana's statement is no longer theoretical. CAA is just an excuse - the real target of the hatred and violence is Hinduism and Hindus. For the first time in my life, I feel we can no longer take our survival/existence for granted . . .