25 December 2021
Which Is The Best Course?
20 December 2021
2021 People Of The Year: Healthcare Workers
# For saving the lives of around 2.5 lakh people
# For putting their duty above themselves and their families
# For proving the ancient saying 'Vaidyo Narayano Hari'
Healthcare workers (doctors + nurses) are 2021's People Of The Year . . .
15 October 2021
Hinduism And Hindutva
01 August 2021
Why Mistakes Are Necessary
26 July 2021
B S Yadiyurappa - The Economic Reformer
24 July 2021
India's 1991 Revolution
But the countries of East Asia and South East Asia adopted the efficient free-market capitalism as their economic system. As a result, their GDPs grew by up to 10% per year. Consequently, the East Asian countries (Japan, Korea, Taiwan) became high-income countries and the South East Asian countries (Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia, etc) became middle-income countries whereas we remained a low-income country – though they were poorer than us in 1947.
Finally in 1991, Prime Minister P V Narasimha Rao started the process of changing our economic system from inefficient govt-controlled socialism to efficient free-market capitalism. As a result:
# Our GDP has grown by around 8% per year. Our population has grown by around 1.5% per year – so our per capita income has grown by around 6.5% per year.
Today's youngsters have not seen pre-1991 socialist India – so they do not know how revolutionary the 1991 economic reforms were. We can understand this revolution by looking at the lifestyle of a middle-class family in pre-1991 socialist India:
Thus the 1991 economic reforms brought about sweeping and unimaginable changes in India. So we must call the event by its correct name: not 'reforms' – but 'revolution'. But the process is still incomplete. Our economy is still 50% socialist. We must take the 1991 Revolution to its logical conclusion by making our economy 100% capitalist – to lift all our people out of poverty and make India a superpower.
15 April 2021
Online Classes Is NOT Education
# Sitting in a real classroom with your classmates and discussing the subjects with your Professors is education.
# Living in a hostel with your batchmates + seniors + juniors and interacting with them is education.
# Eating in a mess with your batchmates + seniors + juniors and complaining about the bad food is education.
# Seeing your classmates, talking to them, cracking jokes with them and laughing with them is education.
# Sitting in front of a laptop at your home in your home-town is NOT education.
09 April 2021
India, Hinduism, Conservatism & Liberalism
INDIA, HINDUISM, CONSERVATISM & LIBERALISM
Conservatism says order is more important than freedom. Liberalism says freedom is more important than order. The genius of Indian/Hindu civilisation is that it has always aimed at a perfect balance between both order and freedom. Thus Hinduism is both conservative and liberal. But if we are forced to choose between order and freedom, which should we choose? The Second Law of Thermodynamics gives us the answer to this question. It says that a system's entropy (disorder) always tends to increase. That is: the natural tendency is for a system's disorder to increase – and order to decrease. In other words: in the tug-of-war between order and freedom, freedom has the natural advantage – and order has the natural disadvantage. So if we are forced to choose between order and freedom, we must always choose order. If we err on the side of too much order (and too little freedom) that error is reversible – because the natural tendency of the universe will correct this error. But if we err on the side of too much freedom (and too little order) that error is irreversible – because the natural tendency of the universe will magnify this error. In other words: freedom lost can always be regained – but order lost is lost forever.
24 March 2021
India And Freedom/Democracy/Human-Rights Index
-X = Reduction in India's score this year
X0 = India's score last year
Y = Number of years they expect the Modi/BJP/NDA government to last
So India's score will go on decreasing every year and reach zero in the (estimated) last year of the Modi/BJP/NDA government.
Also we can use this formula to find out the value of Y for the authors/creators of each such 'index'.
07 March 2021
Karl Marx, Levi Strauss, Blue Jeans And Capitalism
Karl Marx was from a Jewish family whose surname was Levi. His father converted to Christianity and changed the surname to 'Marx'. Meanwhile another Jew called Levi Strauss started making and selling blue jeans in America. This blue jeans went on to become the biggest symbol not just of America – but also of its economic system: ie, free-market capitalism. So when the Soviet Union collapsed in 1991 and free-market capitalism triumphed over Karl Marx's socialism, it was also the triumph of one Levi (who did not change his name and religion) over another Levi (who changed his name and religion).
20 February 2021
Modi, BJP And Free-Market Capitalism
17 January 2021
America, Conservatism And Republican Party
12 January 2021
Agriculture Reforms, Farmers Protest And Supreme Court
AGRICULTURE REFORMS, FARMERS PROTEST AND SUPREME COURT
Legislature's job is making the rules, executive's job is enforcing the rules (made by the legislature) and judiciary's job is interpreting the rules (made by the legislature and enforced by the executive). This is the Fundamental Law Of Democracy. The Supreme Court can strike down a law made by the Parliament ONLY if it violates the Constitution - NOT because a mob of rich farmers has been strangulating the national capital for 50 days. By suspending 3 laws passed by the Parliament (which is elected by the people of India) the Supreme Court violated the Fundamental Law Of Democracy - and turned India into a mobocracy + judicial dictatorship. Today was a black day for India . . .
25 December 2020
2020 Men Of The Year: Galwan Valley Martyrs
# For making the ultimate sacrifice for the Motherland
# For defending the Motherland till their last breath
# For their fearlessness in the face of an evil enemy
# For reminding us that our freedom is not free
The 20 martyrs of the Galwan Valley Battle are 2020's Men Of The Year . . .
01 November 2020
Mistakes Are Good
14 September 2020
Obsolete Managers: Flat Vs Hierarchical Organisation
Let:
N = Number of levels in an organisation
a = Entry-level age (years)
A = Retirement age (years)
T = Number of years (on average) to move from one level to the next level
Then T = (A - a)/N
Usually a = 25 and A = 60. So T = 35/N. More generally, T is inversely proportional to N.
Let P(Obs) = Probability of the managers' knowledge about the core-work becoming obsolete. Then P(Obs) is proportional to T. So P(Obs) is inversely proportional to N. In a flat organisation, N is low - so P(Obs) is high. In a hierarchical organisation, N is high - so P(Obs) is low. The conventional view is that a flat organisation is good and a hierarchical organisation is bad. But from the point-of-view of the managers becoming obsolete, hierarchical organisations are superior to flat organisations.
11 September 2020
Why Managers Are Obsolete
WHY MANAGERS ARE OBSOLETE
An organisation is like a pyramid:
1. It consists of different levels.
2. People at different levels do different types of work.
Specifically:
3. The people at the bottom do the core-work of the organisation.
4. The job of the people at the top is to help/support the bottom-people.
The top-people have moved to the top from the bottom. That is: earlier they were at the bottom – and were doing the core-work of the organisation.
In a static/unchanging world, this model would be perfect:
1. People start at the bottom doing the core-work.
2. As time passes, they move up to the top-levels.
3. They have experience/knowledge about the core-work.
4. With this experience/knowledge, they help/support the bottom-people.
But the problem is the 21st century world is not a static/unchanging world – it is a dynamic/fast-changing world. And how we do a work is a function of the world/environment. So when the environment changes, how we do a work also changes.
Thus some time after the bottom-people move to the top (and become top-people), the technology/environment changes – and the top-people's knowledge/experience about the core-work becomes obsolete. They know about doing the core-work when the technology/environment was in its previous state. But they do not know anything about doing the core-work NOW – when the technology/environment is in a completely new state. But still, they keep giving orders to the bottom-people – who actually know how to do the core-work NOW (with the technology/environment in its current state).
Therefore managers (top-people) are inherently obsolete. And the traditional management model / organisation structure is also inherently obsolete.
01 September 2020
Laws Of System Complexity, Output Quality, Environment Dynamism And Operating Intelligence
LAWS OF SYSTEMS
1. Law of system complexity and operating intelligence:
The intelligence required to run a system is proportional to the system's complexity.
2. Law of system complexity and output quality:
For a given level of intelligence of the people running a system, the quality of the system's output is inversely proportional to the system's complexity.
3. Law of environment dynamism and operating intelligence:
The intelligence required to run a system is proportional to the dynamism of the system's environment.
4. Law of environment dynamism and output quality:
For a given level of intelligence of the people running a system, the quality of the system's output is inversely proportional to the dynamism of the system's environment.
Pranab Mukherjee: The Last Liberal
Which was the defining point of Pranab Mukherjee's long and illustrious political career?
A. 31 Oct 1984 – Congress Party made Rajiv Gandhi as Prime Minister, pushing aside its senior-most leader Pranab-ji
B. 22 May 2004 – Sonia Gandhi made Manmohan Singh as Prime Minister, pushing aside their senior-most leader Pranab-ji
C. 25 Jul 2012 – Pranab-ji became the 13th President of India, the highest office of our Republic
D. 7 Jun 2018 – Pranab-ji attended the valedictory function of RSS's training camp at its Nagpur headquarters
Cynics will say A and B. Most people will say C. But for me, it was D.
Liberals see and treat the RSS as an untouchable Hindu fascist organisation. Yet Pranab Mukherjee, who had occupied the highest office of our Republic and was fully aware of its sanctity, attended the RSS's most important annual event as its Chief Guest. Why? Because he knew that in a society, people will have different viewpoints and the only way to run a society is to be open-minded and try to understand other viewpoints. In that sense, he was a true liberal – an open-minded man who engaged constructively with people he disagreed with. In fact, he was India's last liberal – and the people who call themselves liberals can definitely learn a thing or two from him.
A great son of Mother India has left us. May God give strength to his family . . .
30 August 2020
Congress Party And JEE/NEET Exams
04 August 2020
India's Cities And City-Governments
22 July 2020
Economic System: Efficiency And Equality
From Hal Varian's 'Microeconomics' (2010):
The Second Theorem of Welfare Economics asserts that under certain conditions, every Pareto efficient allocation can be achieved as a competitive equilibrium.
What is the meaning of this result? The Second Welfare Theorem implies that the problems of distribution and efficiency can be separated. Whatever Pareto efficient allocation you want can be supported by the market mechanism. The market mechanism is distributionally neutral. Whatever your criteria for a good or a just distribution of welfare, you can use competitive markets to achieve it.
Prices play two roles in the market system: an allocative role and a distributive role. The allocative role of prices is to indicate relative scarcity; the distributive role is to determine how much of different goods different agents can purchase. The Second Welfare Theorem says that these two roles can be separated: we can redistribute endowments of goods to determine how much wealth agents have, and then use prices to indicate relative scarcity.
Policy discussions often become confused on this point. One often hears arguments for intervening in pricing decisions on grounds of distributional equity. However, such intervention is typically misguided. As we have seen above, a convenient way to achieve efficient allocations is for each agent to face the true social costs of his/her actions and to make choices that reflect those costs. Thus in a perfectly competitive market, the marginal decision of whether to consume more or less of some good will depend on the price – which measures how everyone else values this good on the margin. The considerations of efficiency are inherently marginal decisions – each person should face the correct marginal tradeoff in making his/her consumption decisions.
The decision about how much different agents should consume is a totally different issue. In a competitive market, this is determined by the value of the resources that a person has to sell. From the viewpoint of the pure theory, there is no reason why the state can't transfer purchasing power (endowments) among consumers in any way that is seen fit. But the message of the Second Welfare Theorem is important. Prices should be used to reflect scarcity. Lump-sum transfers of wealth should be used to adjust for distributional goals. To a large degree, these two policy decisions can be separated.
People's concern about the distribution of welfare can lead them to advocate various forms of manipulation of prices. It has been argued, for example, that senior citizens should have access to less expensive telephone service, or that small users of electricity should pay lower rates than large users. These are basically attempts to redistribute income through the price system by offering some people lower prices than others. When you think about it, this is a terribly inefficient way to redistribute income. If you want to redistribute income, why don't you simply redistribute income? If you give a person an extra dollar to spend, then he can choose to consume more of any of the goods that he wants to consume – not necessarily just the good being subsidised.
13 July 2020
India's Politics And Academics: Chicken/Egg (People/System) Problem
Of course, this is a fundamental principle of the universe. And as per this principle, there should be no progress in the world at all. But the history of the world is nothing but the story of progress. So how does progress happen – in spite of the chicken-and-egg / people-and-system principle? There are two reasons. The first reason is that the principle is not 100% rigid/watertight. Especially with regard to the egg-to-chicken part – ie, the relationship between the quality of a system and the entry of good people. Some good people (who are fools) enter a field even though the system is not good.
The second reason is that luckily for us, human/social systems are not 'digital' but 'analog'. That is – they are not binary/discrete (bad vs good; 0 vs 1) but continuous (a gradient/spectrum from bad to good; 0 to 10). So a few good people (fools) enter a bad system and make it better – which attracts more good people – who make the system even better – and so on. This is nothing but the upward spiral / virtuous cycle of progress. Of course, the critical factor here is the speed of the process – especially when we are in a dynamic environment / competitive world. We can only hope that both our academics and our politics get on to a self-sustaining path of improvement (good systems + good people) as soon as possible – and move on it as fast as possible. Aum . . .
21 June 2020
Job/Work/Career: Strengths Vs Weaknesses
Conventional career/personality development theory tells us to improve in our areas of weakness. This is nonsense. Because there is no such thing as the perfect/complete worker/all-rounder. Different people have different strengths - and the 21st century is the age of teamwork and specialisation. So your success will be determined by how strong your strengths are. If you work on your weakness, you will improve from poor to average - not more than that. And what will a team do with an average skill? Instead if you work on your strength, you will improve from good to great - and you will be valuable to any team. So forget about your weaknesses - and focus on your strengths. Find out what your strengths are - and develop them. Trying to 'fix'/'repair' your weaknesses is the biggest waste of time in the world.
08 June 2020
Capital, Capitalist And Capitalism
Since the beginning of civilisation, capital (the means of production) consisted of small simple tools. And these tools were owned by the respective workers. The farmer owned his plough and sickle. The blacksmith owned his anvil and furnace. The carpenter owned his saw and hammer. The potter owned his wheel and the weaver owned his loom. In other words – the workers owned the capital. The Industrial Revolution changed all this – by giving birth to big complex machines (and the buildings that contained them – ie, factories). These were too expensive to be owned by ordinary workers – only rich merchants could afford to own them. So for the first time in history, capital was not owned by workers – but by another group of people: the capitalists. And the new economic system was called 'capitalism'. This was the original meaning of the word 'capitalism'.
22 May 2020
India's Systems: Quality Vs Quantity
Every system has two fundamental aspects: quality and quantity. Which is more important? Both are equally important. That is – a system must ideally maximise both quality and quantity. But given resource constraints, we can increase only one of these two parameters at a time. So to achieve both quality and quantity, a sequential approach is needed. Accordingly, two approaches are available:
| Approach 1 | Keep quantity low | Maintain quality |
| Approach 2 | Keep quality low | Maintain quantity |
Which approach is better? The critical part of the process is the second phase. In the first approach, the second phase involves increasing the quantity of a high-quality low-quantity system. In the second approach, the second phase involves increasing the quality of a high-quantity low-quality system. Which of these two processes has a higher probability of success? Once the question is framed this way, it becomes clear that the first approach has a higher probability of success – and is therefore better.
India came under foreign rule around 1000 AD – during the Agricultural Age. It remained under slavery for 1000 years – under the Turks, Mughals and British. During the period of British rule, the Agricultural Age ended and a new age in the history of mankind - the Modern/Industrial Age - started. When India finally became free in 1947, the fundamental challenge before it was to build modern systems that would be both world-class (quality) and big enough for the world's second-biggest country (quantity). And that required choosing between the two approaches described above. Unfortunately, we chose the second approach. That is – we aimed for quantity rather than quality, perhaps hoping to increase the quality later. The result is that today we are stuck with low-quality high-quantity systems whose quality we are now struggling to increase.
Classroom Education Vs Online Education
"The Covid-19 crisis has changed the world forever – especially education. Classroom education is dead, obsolete and Stone Age. Online education will and should replace classroom education." This is now the consensus opinion of almost all experts and ordinary people.
I know people will call me Stone Age. But based on my 18 years experience as a student and 7 years experience as a faculty, I will say this: The classroom + blackboard + chalk is the most effective method for understanding a subject – especially complex concepts. There is no substitute for mentally wrestling with complex concepts with the help of a faculty who has been doing the same for years – along with other students who are currently doing the same.
If online education is better than classroom education because it is more 'efficient', then why stop there? Why not take this idea one step further – to its logical conclusion? Excellent textbooks are available on every subject. So the most 'efficient' option is to simply buy the textbooks, sit at home and read the textbooks. Where is the need for even an online education? To get a degree? It will be more 'efficient' for universities to only conduct exams and award degrees to those who pass the exams.
Since 1947, we have completely neglected quality and focussed only on quantity in our education. This is the #1 reason for India's under-development today. Now this online education will become another excuse to further dilute quality for the sake of quantity in our education. "We have reached X number of students", "We have trained Y number of candidates", "We have produced Z number of graduates", etc. How well have they understood the subjects? Especially complex concepts? Nobody is bothered about this.
20 May 2020
India's Debt, Fiscal Deficit And GDP Growth Rate
Let us express both debt and fiscal deficit as a fraction of the GDP. Let D/G be d and F/[(1 + g) × G] be f. Then the constant debt-to-GDP ratio condition becomes:
This gives us:
A country starts off with a certain amount of debt (D) – which is expressed as a fraction of its GDP (D/G = d). It wants to reduce its debt-to-GDP ratio (d). How to do this? There are two ways of asking and answering this question:
1. If the country's GDP grows at a certain rate g, then it must keep its fiscal deficit (as a fraction of its GDP) below some level f. Equation 1 gives us this value of f.
2. If the country maintains its fiscal deficit (as a fraction of its GDP) at a certain level f, then its GDP must grow above some rate g. Equation 2 gives us this value of g.
India's debt-to-GDP ratio is 70% – which is the highest among major industrialising countries. How to reduce this? We can use the two equations given above. Accordingly we have:
A. Maximum fiscal deficit (based on the GDP growth rate)
B. Minimum GDP growth rate (based on the fiscal deficit)
Note: The 2003 Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management (FRBM) Act states that the government must reduce the fiscal deficit to 3% of GDP.
12 May 2020
Major/Important Finance Ministers Of India
| # | Finance Minister | Period | Prime Minister |
| 1 | Shanmukham Chetty | 1947–1948 | Jawaharlal Nehru |
| 2 | John Mathai | 1948–1950 | Jawaharlal Nehru |
| 3 | Chintaman Deshmukh | 1950–1956 | Jawaharlal Nehru |
| 4 | T T Krishnamachari | 1956–1958 | Jawaharlal Nehru |
| 5 | Morarji Desai | 1958–1963 | Jawaharlal Nehru |
| 6 | T T Krishnamachari | 1963–1965 | Nehru / L B Shastri |
| 7 | Sachindra Chaudhuri | 1966–1967 | Indira Gandhi |
| 8 | Morarji Desai | 1967–1969 | Indira Gandhi |
| 9 | Yashwantrao Chavan | 1970–1974 | Indira Gandhi |
| 10 | C Subramaniam | 1974–1977 | Indira Gandhi |
| 11 | Hirubhai Patel | 1977–1979 | Indira Gandhi |
| 12 | Charan Singh | 1979–1980 | Morarji Desai |
| 13 | R Venkataraman | 1980–1982 | Indira Gandhi |
| 14 | Pranab Mukherjee | 1982–1984 | Indira Gandhi |
| 15 | V P Singh | 1984–1987 | Rajiv Gandhi |
| 16 | Narayan Tiwari | 1987–1988 | Rajiv Gandhi |
| 17 | Shankarrao Chavan | 1988–1989 | Rajiv Gandhi |
| 18 | Madhu Dandavate | 1989–1990 | V P Singh |
| 19 | Yashwant Sinha | 1990–1991 | Chandra Shekhar |
| 20 | Manmohan Singh | 1991–1996 | P V Narasimha Rao |
| 21 | P Chidambaram | 1996–1998 | Deve Gowda / Gujral |
| 22 | Yashwant Sinha | 1998–2002 | Atal Bihari Vajpayee |
| 23 | Jaswant Singh | 2002–2004 | Atal Bihari Vajpayee |
| 24 | P Chidambaram | 2004–2008 | Manmohan Singh |
| 25 | Pranab Mukherjee | 2009–2012 | Manmohan Singh |
| 26 | P Chidambaram | 2012–2014 | Manmohan Singh |
| 27 | Arun Jaitley | 2014–2019 | Narendra Modi |
| 28 | Nirmala Sitaraman | 2019– | Narendra Modi |
26 April 2020
Economy, Economics And Economic Literacy
Now this economic system or economy does not behave randomly. If I am holding a ball and I let go of it, what will happen? Simple: the ball will fall down. Why? Again simple: due to the law of gravity. So the ball falls down instead of going up because the law of gravity says it must fall down. That is – its behaviour is dictated by the law of gravity. More generally – the behaviour of the physical world is dictated by a set of physical laws. And these physical laws make up a science – the science called physics. Engineers build many physical systems – like machines. When they do so, they must do it on the basis of the laws of physics – for which they must know the science of physics. And we would like to understand how these machines or physical systems work. In order to do that, we must also know the science of physics.
What is true of physical systems is equally true of the economic system (economy). Just as physical systems do not behave randomly but as per certain physical laws, similarly the economy (economic system) does not behave randomly but as per certain laws of human/social behaviour – ie, economic laws. And just as the physical laws make up a science called physics, similarly the economic laws also make up a science – the science called economics. And just as we must know the science of physics to understand how physical systems work, similarly we must know the science of economics to understand how the economic system (economy) works.
Every human gets the things he/she needs to live from the economic system or economy. So the economic system or economy is directly important to every human. Thus every human must understand how the economic system or economy works. That is – every human must know economics (at least the basics). This being the case, it is shocking that we do not teach even basic economics in our schools. We teach economics only in senior high-school (ie, +2) in the Arts and Commerce streams – so the Science stream students miss out on economics completely. We must correct this by teaching at least basic economics in the 10th standard.
We must teach the most fundamental concepts of both micro-economics and macro-economics. Fundamental micro-economic concepts would include:
1. Supply and demand
2. Social surplus/welfare
3. How free-market maximises social welfare
4. How government-controls reduce social welfare
Fundamental macro-economic concepts would include:
1. Taxes and revenue
2. Government spending
3. Fiscal-deficit and debt
4. Subsidies, loan-waivers and welfare-schemes
Economic literacy is also essential for the healthy functioning of a democracy. One of the most important functions of a government is to manage the country's economy properly. If people don't know even basic economics, how will they evaluate the government's performance – and the opposition's criticism? And how will they make the right choice in the election?
25 April 2020
ಜಾತ್ಯತೀತ / ಜಾತ್ಯತೀತತೆ
24 April 2020
India's Muslims: Non-Fundamentalists Vs Anti-Fundamentalists
PS: And needless to say - we Hindus will support them 100% in their war against fundamentalism.
21 April 2020
Varna System And Types Of Work
1. Working with things
2. Working with money
3. Working with people
4. Working with ideas
Accordingly, ancient Indians designed and built a social system (the Varna system) in which different groups of people specialised in each of the four basic types of work:
1. Working with things - Farmers/Workers (Shudras)
2. Working with money - Merchants/Traders (Vaishyas)
3. Working with people - Rulers/Administrators (Kshatriyas)
4. Working with ideas - Scholars/Priests (Brahmanas)
20 April 2020
China's History: Warfare, Violence, Aggression
In India, the armies of the two warring kingdoms would meet at the battlefield and start fighting at sunrise. At sunset, they would stop and evaluate the situation. The army which fared better was declared the winner. Then the losing king would acknowledge the winning king as his overlord - and pay him a tribute every year. Thus it was limited warfare.
In China, the war would be a fight to the finish. The winning king would kill the losing king - even if he surrendered. The winning army would kill the entire losing army - even if they surrendered. Then the winning army would march to the capital of the losing kingdom - and kill every man, woman and child in the city. Thus it was total warfare. And this went on for 4000 years.
Therefore China's history is the most violent and blood-drenched history in the world. And 4000 years of bloody warfare have made the Chinese a very violent and aggressive people. In 1949, the Chinese Communist Party made the country a completely unified state for the first time in its history. As a result, all those inter-kingdom wars came to a stop. But a national character that has developed over 4000 years cannot change overnight. So where will all that violence and aggression go? Simple: outside. That is - the violence and aggression that went into internal wars for 4000 years is now going into the outside world.
Reference: History Of China - John Keay (2008)
19 April 2020
RSS's System/Philosophy
18 April 2020
Congress Propaganda: Gandhi/Nehru Vs Bhagat Singh / Subhash Chandra Bose
1. Half the songs were familiar - I had seen them regularly on Chitrahaar (remember that program on Doordarshan?) as a kid in the 1980s and 1990s. But half the songs were new - I had never seen them on Chitrahaar.
2. Very coincidentally - the songs that Chitrahaar regularly showed glorify Gandhi and Nehru. And the songs that Chitrahaar never showed glorify Bhagat Singh and Subhash Chandra Bose.
There were also state-versions of Chitrahaar - in each state's language. Extending the above analysis to Maharashtra's Marathi version of Chitrahaar, I think it never showed songs that glorify Vinayak Savarkar. My Marathi friends can confirm this.
Nice propaganda by the Congress Party!
17 April 2020
Socialism, Capitalism And India's Muslim Middle-Class
Fast economic growth creates a big middle-class. Due to our slow economic growth under socialism, we were not able to create a Muslim middle-class (that we had lost in Partition). Finally in 1991, Prime Minister P V Narasimha Rao changed our economic system from socialism to capitalism - and our economy started growing at the rate of 7-8% per year. This fast economic growth created a big Indian middle-class. Specifically: It created a small Muslim middle-class - for the first time since 1947.
So our Muslim middle-class is small and recent (only since 1991). Thus Nehru's socialism delayed the formation of a Muslim middle-class by almost 50 years - and therefore also delayed the modernisation of the Muslim community.
16 April 2020
Hindus And The Modernisation Of India's Muslims
Therefore Hindus have been doing nothing in this regard since 1947. And the results of this approach are there in front of us today. So this approach is clearly unsustainable. Either middle-class Muslims are not modernising their lower-class counterparts. Or their efforts are not being enough. So Hindus must either kick-start the process (if it is the former) - or accelerate the process (if it is the latter). And how to do this?
The starting point for every change-process is a discussion/conversation. The biggest problem in this matter is that there is no discussion/conversation happening at all. Why? The answer is obvious: Hindus feel that if they criticise Islamic fundamentalism (or Christian fundamentalism - but that is another story) it looks like they are criticising Islam - which is 'hatred' and therefore wrong. So we have chosen a comfortable silence since 1947. And today the results of this silence are there in front of us. Therefore this comfortable silence is no longer an option.
Hinduism says 'Sarva Mata Sama Bhaava'. So we respect all religions - including Islam. But we will not tolerate Islamic fundamentalism - which is an evil ideology. We must be very clear about this difference. That will give us the confidence to criticise Islamic fundamentalism freely and openly - based on facts/logic. At the same time, we must (equally freely and openly) support the middle-class Muslims who are trying to modernise their lower-class counterparts. There is no contradiction between respecting Islam on the one hand and criticising Islamic fundamentalism on the other hand. In fact - the two approaches are two sides of the same coin. Each strengthens the other. And each is incomplete without the other.
We are all one country - India. We will all either prosper together - or we will all go down together. These are our only two options - there is no third option. So let us all work together to make our country better. Bharat Mata ki jai.
Bollywood's Greatest Patriotic Songs
1. Vande Mataram
Lyrics: Bankim Chandra Chatterjee
Music: Hemant Kumar
Voice: Hemant Kumar
Movie: Anand Math (1952)
2. Kadam Kadam Badhaye Ja
Lyrics: Vanshidhar Shukla
Music: Ram Singh Thakur
Voice: Ramchandra Chitalkar
Movie: Samadhi (1950)
3. Mera Rang De Basanti Chola
Lyrics: Ram Prasad Bismil
Music: Prem Dhawan
Voices: Mahendra Kapoor, Mukesh, Rajendra Mehta
Movie: Shaheed (1965)
4. Sarfaroshi Ki Tamanna
Lyrics: Bismil Azimabadi
Music: Prem Dhawan
Voices: Mohammed Rafi, Manna Dey, Rajendra Mehta
Movie: Shaheed (1965)
5. Aao Bacho Tumhe Dikhaye
Lyrics: Kavi Pradeep
Music: Hemant Kumar
Voice: Kavi Pradeep
Movie: Jagriti (1954)
6. Yeh Desh Hai Veer Jawanon Ka
Lyrics: Sahir Ludhianvi
Music: Omkar Nayyar
Voice: Mohammed Rafi
Movie: Naya Daur (1957)
7. Aye Mere Pyare Watan
Lyrics: Prem Dhawan
Music: Salil Chaudhari
Voice: Manna Dey
Movie: Kabuliwala (1961)
8. Ab Tumhare Hawale Watan Sathiyo
Lyrics: Kaifi Azmi
Music: Madan Mohan
Voice: Mohammed Rafi
Movie: Haqeeqat (1964)
9. Apni Azadi Ko Hum
Lyrics: Shakil Badayuni
Music: Naushad Ali
Voice: Mohammed Rafi
Movie: Leader (1964)
10. Aye Watan Aye Watan
Lyrics: Prem Dhawan
Music: Prem Dhawan
Voice: Mohammed Rafi
Movie: Shaheed (1965)
11. Jahan Daal Daal Par
Lyrics: Rajendra Krishan
Music: Hansraj Behl
Voice: Mohammed Rafi
Movie: Sikandar E Azam (1965)
12. Mere Desh Ki Dharti
Lyrics: Gulshan Bawra
Music: Kalyanji-Anandji
Voice: Mahendra Kapoor
Movie: Upkaar (1967)
13. Hai Preet Jahan Ki Reet Sada
Lyrics: Indivar
Music: Kalyanji-Anandji
Voice: Mahendra Kapoor
Movie: Purab Aur Paschim (1970)
14. Taqat Watan Ki
Lyrics: Gopaldas Neeraj
Music: Sachin Burman
Voices: Manna Dey, Mohammed Rafi
15. Har Karam Apna Karenge
Lyrics: Anand Bakshi
Music: Laxmikant-Pyarelal
Voices: Kavita Krishnamurti, Mohammed Aziz
Movie: Karma (1986)
15 April 2020
Microeconomic Foundations Of Macroeconomics?
# Keynes gave birth to macroeconomics which looks at the aggregate economy independently - ie, without bothering about microeconomics.
# Neo-classicists attacked Keynesian macroeconomics - saying it does not have 'solid microeconomic foundations'.
# Neo-Keynesians are responding by building the 'solid microeconomic foundations' for Keynesian macroeconomics.
# But all this is funny when the foundation of microeconomics (rational maximisation) is itself being broken - by behavioural economics.
07 April 2020
India's School-Education System & Basic Literacy Skills
For understanding a subject, the most effective method is listening to a lecture. The second most effective method is reading a good textbook. The least effective method is reading 'notes'. Still my students are insisting on 'notes'.
How do we understand a subject through the first two (effective) methods? The process consists of these steps:
1. Reading/Listening
2. Understanding
3. Thinking logically
Now these also happen to be basic literacy skills - which are the foundation for all other skills. Once students have these fundamental skills, they can develop other higher level skills.
So if the students are insisting on 'notes', that means they do not have these basic literacy skills. This is a damning indictment of India's school-education system. It means that we are basically producing a nation of educated illiterates. How will we survive in the 21st century - which is the Knowledge Century?
02 April 2020
Minimum WhatsApp Group Distance (MWGD)
Now consider any other of X's WhatsApp groups (which you are not a member of). And consider any other member of that group (with whom you don't share any WhatsApp group) - let us call him/her as Y. So you are connected to Y through two WhatsApp groups. That is - the MWGD between you and Y = 2.
Now almost all the 40 crore Indians on WhatsApp are connected to one another like this. The only thing that varies is the MWGD. The lesser the MWGD between two persons, we can say they are 'closer' to each other. The greater the MWGD between two persons, we can say they are 'farther' from each other.
Question: What may be the MWGD between the two Indians who are 'farthest' from each other?
25 February 2020
Money, Survival, Work and Happiness
# Most people think: "I need Rs X to survive and another Rs Y to be happy. So I need Rs Z = X + Y to survive and be happy."
# But happiness comes from work – ie, from doing the work that we like doing. So the thinking stated above is wrong.
# In the 21st century, 99% of jobs/careers pay us at least Rs X – the money we need to survive.
# So don't run after the extra Rs Y that you think will make you happy – because it will not.
# Instead just find out what you like doing – and make it your job/career.
29 January 2020
India's Economic Slowdown: Cyclical or Structural?
A. The growth rate goes below the growth rate during past cyclical slowdowns (which is 4.5% for India)
B. The slowdown lasts longer than the duration of past cyclical slowdowns (which is a year for India)
C. Both A and B happen
Yet AS SOON AS the growth rate hit 4.5% for ONE QUARTER, some 'eminent' economists immediately declared that the slowdown is structural. Only in an economically illiterate country like India can economists get away with such statements/verdicts - which are at best unscientific and at worst dishonest.
25 January 2020
Slowdown in India's Economy
India converted its economy from socialism to capitalism in 1991. Since then, we have also been experiencing this pattern. In 2000, our economy slowed down. So our next slowdown was due around 2010. But the UPA government tried to avoid the slowdown - by artificially boosting the economy with excess spending. But you cannot avoid a slowdown that is due. At best, you can only delay it - and that too only by a few years. And that is exactly what happened - the slowdown eventually hit us in 2013.
So going by the 10-year cycle, our next slowdown was due around 2020. And that is exactly what is happening now. Economic cycle is one of the most fundamental concepts in economics. But our media and liberal economists seem to be blissfully ignorant of it.
17 January 2020
Hindus, Hinduism and Islamic/Christian Fundamentalism
We Hindus believe that all religions are true – and therefore respect all religions. This is a good thing – but unfortunately we also go one step further. We think: "ALL people believe that all religions are true. Therefore ALL people respect all religions." This is the BIGGEST MISTAKE that we Hindus make – because it is a FALSE assumption.
Islamic/Christian fundamentalism says:
1. Only Islam/Christianity is true – all other religions are false.
2. 'Good' is nothing but spreading the truth and 'evil' is nothing but tolerating falsehood.
3. So 'good' means spreading Islam/Christianity and 'evil' means tolerating other religions.
Therefore Islamic/Christian fundamentalists believe:
1. Hinduism is false/evil.
2. So it is every Muslim/Christian's sacred duty to wipe out Hinduism and replace it with Islam/Christianity.
Thus for the last 1000 years, Islamic/Christian fundamentalism have been waging war on Hindus and Hinduism.
So if we Hindus want to survive, the first thing we must do is to stop thinking: "All humans think like me/us".
04 January 2020
Anti-CAA Riots/Protests and Anti-Hinduism
31 December 2019
Caste Politics
2. What kind of system is society? Liberals say it is a system made up of individuals. They are wrong. Society is a system made up of groups.
3. Now putting #1 and #2 together: Politics is the contest for power - not among individuals, but among groups.
4. Which is the most basic type of group in Indian society (as of now)? It is caste.
5. Now putting #3 and #4 together: Politics is the contest for power among different castes.
So nationalists who question/criticise caste politics are basically making the same mistake as liberals - not understanding the fundamental nature of society and politics.
14 December 2019
Work Is Worship
# Our degrees and the colleges we went to are our inputs. The work we do is our output. A system is not judged by its inputs - it is judged by its output. So the world will not ask us: "What are your degrees?" or "Which colleges did you go to?". It will ask us: "What work are you doing?".
# All work is important. No work is unimportant. So exactly what work we are doing is not important. What is important is giving 100% to that work. Everybody cannot be CEO of Google or CEO of Apple. And it is not needed also. Whichever work we do, we must give that work our 100%. A factory-worker who gives his 100% is superior to a CEO who gives his 99%.
11 December 2019
2019 Man Of The Year: Amit Shah
# For starting a new era – the era of BJP dominance
# For turning BJP into a full-fledged national party
# For integrating Jammu & Kashmir completely with India
# For giving refuge to the persecuted Hindus of South Asia
Amit Shah is 2019's Man Of The Year . . .
05 December 2019
Citizenship Amendment Bill (C.A.B)
# There are 120 Christian countries in the world.
# There are 50 Muslim countries in the world.
# There are 2 Hindu countries in the world: India and Nepal.
# Nepal is small and is under the shadow of China.
# So effectively there is ONLY ONE Hindu country in the world: India.
# So India MUST give shelter to every persecuted Hindu from any country in the world.
# Inside India (for Indian citizens) all religions ARE equal. But at our borders (for non-Indian refugees) all religions are NOT equal. India being the ONLY major Hindu country in the world MUST give preference to persecuted Hindus from other countries.
# Liberals always say that we must give special rights to minorities. In the world, Hindus are the minority. So Citizenship Amendment Bill (C.A.B) is nothing but a special right to this real global minority.
28 November 2019
State Vs National Politics/Elections
Then in October, two states - Haryana and Maharashtra - had their elections. BJP/NDA was the red-hot favourite to win both the state elections. Then came the first shocker. In Haryana, BJP became the biggest party – but failed to get a majority. This was mainly due to the opposition of the biggest caste in the state – the Jats. Eventually (and ironically) BJP was forced to ally with the Jat party JJP in order to form the government. Then came the second shocker. In Maharashtra, BJP's NDA partner Shiv Sena demanded the Chief Minister's post – in spite of it winning lesser seats. When BJP refused, Shiv Sena broke the alliance and joined hands with arch-rivals NCP and Congress to form the government (thus effectively defecting to the UPA).
BJP still has 303 seats at the centre – and the Prime Minister and Home Minister still have complete control over the central government. But their aura of invincibility has been shattered. This is especially so due to the fiasco in Maharashtra – which is India's second biggest state and biggest economy. There BJP lost the state – in spite of it winning the election. The question is: Why did these setbacks happen? And more importantly: What is the solution to them?
The answer is a fundamental truth about Indian politics: national politics and state politics are two completely different ball-games. Therefore – the strategy and tactics that help you to win one game will not help you to win the other game. Specifically – the BJP's victory in the national election was mainly due to 3 factors:
1. The central government's pro-poor welfare schemes
2. The RBI successfully controlling inflation
3. The Prime Minister's popularity
Now none of these factors matter in state elections – which are fought, won and lost exclusively on state issues. The Indian political-administrative system is a two-level system: centre and states. The government at each of the two levels has its own functions to perform. The average Indian voter may still be a poor and illiterate farm-worker in a village. But still, he/she knows the difference between the central government and the state government – and therefore the difference between the national election and the state election.
If that is the case, then what are the important factors in state politics – especially the ones that BJP may be neglecting due to its total command over national politics? We can think of 3 critical factors:
1. Strong State Leaders
A major reason for BJP winning 303 seats at the centre is that Indians want to have a strong leader (Prime Minister). Now why on earth should this basic principle be different at the state level? Do Indians want a strong Prime Minister but a weak Chief Minister? Just as Indians want a strong leader for the country, similarly they also want a strong leader for their state (Chief Minister). And from a national party's point of view, it will be strong only if it has strong leaders at both the levels – centre and states. Central leaders must not see strong state-leaders as a threat – but instead as a strength. One of the key reasons why Congress Party declined is because the insecure Indira Gandhi ruthlessly cut down strong state-leaders and replaced them with weak puppets whose only qualification was their loyalty to her.
2. Managing Caste Equations
A primary reason for BJP sweeping the national election is that a majority of Hindus voted for it – irrespective of their caste. This is a triumph of the Hindutva project – whose aim is to unite all Hindus. In a national election, the unit is the whole country – so Hindutva can succeed fully. But in a state election, the unit is just the state – so state-level caste equations will come into the picture. Caste is the social system of an agricultural society – which India is and will be for the forseeable future. As we modernise (industrialise + urbanise) caste will become obsolete – and Hindutva will succeed fully in state elections also. But till that time, it will be important for a political party to manage each state's caste equations intelligently.
3. Managing Alliances/Coalitions
Narendra Modi and Amit Shah have 100% control over the BJP. But the other NDA parties are a completely different matter. So they cannot treat leaders of other NDA parties the way they treat other BJP leaders. Again – the basic point about the centre and the state being two different systems is relevant here. That is, there is a national NDA – and there is an NDA in each state. The state-NDA must not be seen merely as an automatic subset of the national-NDA. The state-NDA is an independent entity with its own dynamic – and hence must be treated accordingly. Using the national-NDA's management techniques to manage the state-NDA will lead to sub-optimal outcomes. In this regard, we can remember how Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee (one of post-1947 India's greatest leaders) treated the leaders of even the smallest NDA parties.
Thus if the BJP focusses on these 3 factors in state politics, it will enjoy the same success in state politics that it currently enjoys in national politics.
18 November 2019
Satyameva Jayate: Life, Career, Success & Truth
There is another way of looking at this statement. All of us want to succeed in our lives and our careers. Whenever we are not satisfied with our lives or careers, we read books/articles and watch videos on 'How to succeed'. That is – we look for tips/tactics/techniques on how to succeed. This is a narrow view. The real answer is contained in this timeless line from the Mundaka Upanishad: Satyameva Jayate – only truth wins. So if I am not winning/succeeding, that means only one thing: I am not walking the path of truth; I am not living a life of truth; I am not doing truthful work. That is – the line is not just about truth vs falsehood. It is also about truth vs ME! So I must constantly ask myself: Am I walking the path of truth? Am I living a life of truth? Am I doing truthful work? If I am not, then no amount of tips/tactics/techniques (from books/videos/articles) will help me to become successful.
12 November 2019
Hinduism: Buddhism, Jainism, Sikhism
The first instance of this happened about 1000 years after the Vedas were composed – ie, around 500 BC. Hinduism had decayed – it had lost touch with Dharma and become filled with empty rituals and ceremonies. Then two great philosophers were born – Gautama Buddha and Vardhamana Mahavira. They founded two new religions – Buddhism and Jainism. By doing so, they restored Hinduism to its foundation of Dharma and thus rejuvenated it.
The second instance happened about 1300 years later – around 800 AD. Buddhism had become widespread but it had decayed – and was weakening Hinduism. Then another great philosopher was born – Shankara. He re-constructed Hinduism on its foundation of Vedas-Upanishads and thus revived it.
400 years later – around 1200 AD, the Turks from Central Asia conquered North India. They started massacring Hindus and demolishing temples – and continued to do so for 300 years. Once again, Hinduism was in crisis. If ever Hinduism needed a reformer and saviour – it was now. In 1469 AD, yet another great philosopher was born – Guru Nanak. He founded a new religion Sikhism and infused new life into Hinduism.
Around 1500 AD, another Central Asian people – the Mughals – conquered North India. They continued the Turks' project of massacring Hindus and demolishing temples. Since Sikhism was revitalising Hinduism, it became a special target. In 1606, Jahangir tortured and executed the 5th Guru Arjun Dev. In 1675, Aurangzeb tortured and executed the 9th Guru Tegh Bahadur. Finally in 1699, the 10th Guru Govind Singh built the Sikh community into an army, fought against the Mughals – and saved Hinduism from being wiped out.
Today on the sacred occasion of Guru Nanak's 550th jayanti, let us remember the sacrifices of the Sikh Gurus and their followers for the sake of protecting Hinduism . . .
10 November 2019
The Rama Temple at Ayodhya
In theory, a court must give its verdict purely on the basis of law and evidence. But in reality, a court should give its verdict by also considering the larger social context in the country – especially in sensitive cases. This was not an easy verdict to give. The five judges faced the toughest test of their long and illustrious careers – and they passed it with flying colours. Let us thank them. And let us thank the thousands of ordinary men and women who fought this long war. May Lord Rama bless us with wisdom and strength. Jai Shri Ram.
24 October 2019
Shudras, Caste Politics and Economic Reforms
Shudras are mainly farmers and are made up of many castes. Some castes are big ('forward castes') and others are small ('backward castes'). The Mandal Commission gave reservation to backward castes but not to forward castes. Each state/region has its own forward castes: Uttar Pradesh (Yadavs), Bihar (Yadavs), Haryana (Jats), Gujarat (Patels), Maharashtra (Marathas), Karnataka (Lingayats + Vokkaligas), Andhra Pradesh (Reddys + Naidus), etc.
In 1991, we started changing our economy from inefficient government-controlled socialism to efficient free-market capitalism. The process is still incomplete. We freed our industry from government control. But our agriculture and inputs to industry (land and labour) are still under government control. So today, even after 3 decades of economic reforms, only 25% of our people work in industry. But 45% of our people still work in agriculture – which produces only 15% of our economic output. So on the one hand, industry has not grown to employ farmers as factory-workers and take them out of agriculture. And on the other hand, our inefficient agriculture has kept our large number of farmers poor. The worst-affected people by this double whammy are the farmer-castes who do not have reservation – ie, the forward Shudra castes.
Due to these developments, the forward Shudra castes started demanding reservations in both education and government jobs. In 2016, Jats (30% of Haryana) launched an agitation to demand for reservation. In 2018, Marathas (35% of Maharashtra) did the same. In both cases, the state government succumbed and granted reservation to the agitating forward caste. And in both states, the case went to the High Court. The Bombay High Court upheld Maharashtra's Maratha reservation but the Punjab-Haryana High Court shot down Haryana's Jat reservation. So Marathas were happy with the ruling BJP in Maharashtra but Jats were furious with the ruling BJP in Haryana. As a result, BJP won the election in Maharashtra but lost the election in Haryana.
What does all this mean for India's politics? India's politics has always been known to be based on caste – which is the fundamental unit in the social system of an agricultural society. But BJP won this year's national election by beating the equations of caste politics. The most spectacular example of this was Uttar Pradesh – where it crushed the alliance of the two biggest castes (Yadavs + Dalits). This led many people to say that caste politics has ended and we have entered the era of post-caste politics. The elections of Haryana and Maharashtra have disproved this hypothesis. Caste may no longer be a factor in national politics – but it is still a factor in state politics.
And what does this mean for India's economy? It means that as long as our agriculture and inputs to industry are controlled by the government:
1. Industry will not grow
2. Agriculture will be inefficient
3. Farmers will be many and poor
4. Farmer-castes will be angry
5. They will demand reservations
6. And they will get it – because of their numbers
The only way to get out of this vicious cycle is to free our agriculture and inputs to industry (land and labour) from government control.
19 October 2019
India's Economic Reforms and the States
An economic system needs 3 inputs to make products and services – land, labour and capital. Our economy is inefficient because our markets for all these 3 inputs are inefficient. So to make our economy efficient, we must reform our markets in land, labour and capital. Successive central governments have been reforming our capital market by reforming our financial system since 1991. The problem is the other two markets have not been touched – land and labour. Why?
Our Constitution has divided powers between the central government and state governments by assigning some areas to the centre (central subjects), some areas to the states (state subjects) and some areas to both (concurrent subjects). Land is a state subject and labour is a concurrent subject. So it is the state governments who must carry out reforms in our land market and labour market – ie, land reforms and labour reforms. So our media and economists must take a break from their obsession with the central government. They must start demanding economic reforms from the state governments – especially land reforms and labour reforms.
17 October 2019
Conservatism Vs Liberalism: Society, Individuals, Government
1. Society is more important than individuals and government (Conservatism)
2. Individuals and government are more important than society (Liberalism)
10 October 2019
Society, Government, Economy
To live, people need many things – like food, clothes, houses, etc. People obtain these things by making and exchanging them with others. They do this as individuals, families or groups. These make up the economic system or the economy. So the economic system is made up of individuals, families and groups/companies. And its purpose is to produce goods and services, and sell them.
Thus in society, many different functions need to be performed. And society has developed a system to carry out each of those functions. For society to be efficient, each system must perform only its function – it must not perform any other function. If a system performs a function other than its own, then society will become inefficient.
So the government's job is making and enforcing rules – not making and selling products and services. That is the job of the economic system (individuals, families and companies). If the government tries to do the job of individuals, families and companies, it will lead to an inefficient society.
28 September 2019
India - $ 5 Trillion GDP in 2024
CORRECTION:
My friend Amitesh Singh has pointed out a fundamental error in the above analysis. If India's inflation is x% and America's inflation is y%, then the Rupee will go down against the Dollar by (x - y)%. And the GDP target (5 trillion) is in Dollars. This means two things:
1. We won't get any benefit from a higher inflation in reaching the GDP target.
2. The only 'discount' we get in the required growth rate of 11% is America's inflation rate (currently 2%). So we have to grow at 11 - 2 = 9%.
26 September 2019
India: Capitalism and Economic Freedom
# Since the beginning of history, every civilisation had a free economic system.
# In 1848, Karl Marx designed a government-controlled economic system – and called it 'socialism'.
# And he called the free economic system as 'capitalism'.
# In 1917, Lenin implemented socialism in Russia.
# In 1947, Nehru implemented socialism in India.
# So in 1947, we got our political freedom – but lost our economic freedom.
22 September 2019
Money, Happiness, Selfishness
We are not our bank accounts. Then what are we? What is our essence? Our essence is our strength/potential. To achieve happiness, we must discover our strength/potential and do the work that uses our strength/potential. In other words – we must reject false selfishness (going after money) and embrace true selfishness (doing work that uses our strength/potential).
The problem in the world is not selfishness. The problem in the world is false selfishness. And the solution is true selfishness.
17 September 2019
Impact Of Artificial Intelligence (AI) On Jobs
A: AI will change the economy from A to I – ie, from an A-shaped system to an I-shaped system.
Since the Industrial Revolution (c1800), the structure of the economy has been like this:
That is, the economy had:
1. A few high-skilled jobs (scientists + researchers)
2. Some medium-skilled jobs (engineers + managers)
3. Many low-skilled jobs (workers + operators)
Thus the economy was roughly A-shaped.
Now AI is simplifying most tasks/functions so that they can be done even with low skills. So it is converting the medium-skilled jobs into low-skilled jobs – effectively pushing jobs from the middle to the bottom. And it is creating high-skilled jobs at the top – scientists/researchers to design and build these AI systems.
So the economy will become like this:
That is, the economy will have:
1. Many high-skilled jobs (scientists + researchers)
2. A few medium-skilled jobs (engineers + managers)
3. Many low-skilled jobs (workers + operators)
Thus the economy will become roughly I-shaped.
[Idea source: R Jagannathan, Swarajya magazine]
02 September 2019
Economic Reforms, Welfare Schemes & Inflation: How To Win Elections In India
1991–1996: P V Narasimha Rao carried out economic reforms – and lost the election.
1998–2004: Atal Bihari Vajpayee carried out economic reforms – and lost the election.
Lesson #1: Economic reforms don't win the election.
2004–2009: Sonia Gandhi did not carry out any economic reforms. Instead she carried out welfare schemes – and won the election.
Lesson #2: Welfare schemes win the election.
2009–2014: Sonia Gandhi increased her welfare schemes. But this increased the fiscal deficit – which increased inflation. She lost the election.
Lesson #3: High inflation loses the election.
2014–2019: Narendra Modi learnt all the 3 lessons. So he
1. Carried out some economic reforms
2. Carried out many welfare schemes
3. Controlled inflation – by controlling the fiscal deficit
He won the election.


