WHY TRADE IS GOOD (BOTH EXPORTS AND IMPORTS)
GDP is given by the basic equation:
Y = C + I + G + X - M
or Y = C + I + G + NX
where NX = X - M
These equations *seem* to say that GDP consists of net exports (or trade surplus) and hence:
1. Exports are good
2. Imports are bad
3. Trade surplus is good
4. Trade deficit is bad
1 is correct and 3 is partially correct. But 2 and 4 are fallacies. They are bad in themselves; what is worse is they make people miss an important economic variable: total trade (ie, exports + imports). Research has conclusively proved that total trade has a strong positive impact on economic growth.
Believing fallacies 2 and 4 leads to a zero-sum-game mindset. But trade is not a zero-sum-game. Trade (exports + imports) gives us:
a) A bigger market for our exports
b) Cheap and good-quality products
c) Specialisation and efficiency
d) Knowledge and technology
So we must avoid fallacies 2 and 4 (which are due to a wrong understanding of the GDP equation) and instead look at total trade (exports + imports):
T = X + M
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